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Wanted: a gesture from Syria |
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By Khaled Diab A return to the negotiating table is encouraging, but Syria will have
to make a daring gesture to win Israeli public sympathy |
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September
2008 The quest
for peace in the Middle East is a fragile and delicate affair. Even at the
most promising moments, when it seems finally within grasp, it can so easily
slip away. Not long after the news of the latest
round of serious (but indirect) talks between Syria and Israel was made
public, we learn that the Israeli government is on the verge of collapse. But
rather than despair at the latest set back, Syria should redouble its efforts
to keep the peace talks afloat. In fact, with a little daring, the
forthcoming elections could prove to be a golden opportunity to put Syria’s
case for peace directly to the Israeli electorate. The
blueprint of a durable and workable deal appear to have been hammered out by
negotiators, but there is currently little mutual trust for it to see the
light of day, leaving plenty of room for sceptics and extremists to undermine
and derail it. What
Syria needs to do is to raise the peace ante with a spectacular
confidence-building gesture. This could come in the form of an offer of
direct, top-level talks with Israel’s next prime minister, if he or she
sticks to the principle of returning the Golan Heights in exchange for peace.
This could help nudge a peace deal with Syria to the top of the election
campaign, win the trust of the electorates and call the bluff of those using
Syria’s rejections of direct talks as a sign of ill intent. So far,
the Syrian president Bashar al-Assad has ruled out direct talks until after
the Israeli elections, but there’s no reason why he can’t already make a
clear offer now to the future leader. He told
reporters in New Delhi in June that direct talks were “not like drinking
tea… The meeting between me and the Israeli prime minister will be
meaningless without technocrats, who are the experts, laying the foundation.” Undoubtedly, the role of experts is important for laying the technical
foundations for peace, but this ignores the potential goodwill that can be
built with the simple act of sharing a cuppa – or, in other words, setting
down the essential psychological keystone that must underpin a settlement. It
is public figures and not anonymous technocrats who can lay the appropriate
emotional groundwork and create the kind of mindset conducive to the
difficult task ahead of squaring the political circle. The late
Egyptian president Anwar Sadat understood the importance of this
psychological threshold. Although Israeli public opinion was initially
against returning the Sinai, he won enough Israeli public adoration to pave
the way to peace with his spectacular
visit to Israel. There are murmurs
in Israel that Syria could use some of that Sadat seduction. Personally,
I do not expect Bashar al-Assad, a reserved and private man who lacks the
flamboyance and passion for risk-taking of the former Egyptian president, to
address the Knesset, but some strategically targeted flesh pressing and
shared smiles with Israel’s next leader could truly start a long overdue thaw
in relations. And it’s not like it is something entirely new to him: during
the funeral of Pope John Paul II in 2005, Assad shook
hands with the then Israeli President Moshe Katsav. Of
course, Sadat is widely seen in Syria as a traitor – or, at the very least, a
let down – to the Arab cause. Although he urged them to join him in his quest
for a settlement, at a certain level, he did betray the frontline states
by not coordinating his position with them and with his cavalier attitude
towards his Arab allies. And this, along with memories
of his father’s icy reaction to Sadat’s visit, might put Assad off taking
such a high-profile step. Nevertheless,
Sadat showed foresight and daring by bowing to the inevitable and expressing
publicly what most Arab leaders admitted in private: that an accommodation
with Israel was the only game in town. Even Gamal Abdel-Nasser – who grew to
become the embodiment of the pan-Arabist ideal and to whom Syria selflessly surrendered its
sovereignty in an attempt to fulfil its dream of Arab unity – believed
that peace with Israel was the only way forward, but he never articulated it
in public because he feared the reaction of the “Arab Street”. Syria is
also constrained by its declared principles. “Any direct
negotiations will not take place until after there is a clear resolution of
the land in return for peace issue and Israel's commitment and clear stand on
the mechanisms,” a high level Syrian source said.
The source also argued that this would be tantamount to recognising Israel,
which Syria is not prepared to do before a peace deal has been reached. But Syria needs to discard this fossilised and outdated notion, as
even negotiating through a medium is a tacit form of recognition, so why not
come out of the closet about it. Syria’s refusal to recognise Israel makes no
practical difference to either country. In contrast, a formal recognition
would be a tiny bureaucratic step, but a massive and positive psychological
leap for both sides, since it would put to rest persistent rumours that the
Arabs do not accept Israel’s right to exist and prepare Syria for eventual
political and economic ties once the conflict is fully resolved. I understand that the Syrians are acting on principle and feel they
should not recognise Israel until it recognises an independent Palestine, but
peace between Syria and Israel could serve the Palestinian cause, by building
trust and giving Israel one less justification for continuing its occupation.
At the very least, it can’t make things worse, since there is very
little a weak and isolated Syria can do to serve the Palestinian cause. But
as a stronger and more integrated member of the international community, it
can exercise far more diplomatic clout in the efforts to assist the
long-suffering Palestinians. Besides, after six decades of futile Arab help
that has often done more harm than good, perhaps the Palestinians are best
left to manage their own cause. Domestically, peace will bring Syria in from the cold and give it a
broader circle of friends than only Iran, an alliance that has hurt Syria’s
relationship with other Arab countries, as well as with the west. In
addition, it will free Syria up to pursue its economic development and, by
removing the fears and excuses of the conflict with Israel, could put the
country back on the path to the democracy that was shattered in the wake of
the 1948 defeat. Read
my appeal to Israel
This
column appeared in The Guardian Unlimited’s Comment is Free section
on 15 August 2008. Read the related
discussion. |
ã2008
– Khaled Diab. Unless otherwise stated, all the content on this website is the
copyright of Khaled Diab.